About the near-future of cars and what that means, part 1

This 2014 prediction has already been surpased by 4-5 years!
This 2014 prediction has already been surpased by 4-5 years!

 

UPDATE, 7.12.2016: VW to compete with Uber and Tesla with their own fleet management company MOIA: https://goo.gl/QSx1Vh

The car will change from a prized posession into a tool. Software will take over, turning car manufacturers into self-driving and self-teaching and learning fleet managers. Consequently, the energy sector will have to change to adapt to rising number of EV and PHEV loads on the network. The internal combustion engines will have to evolve, but not only for personal vehicles, (probably just for the next 20 years), but for base-energy supply from natural gasses. Batteries will become cleaner and more efficient. Last but not least: there will be new taxes related to cars.

Growth of EVs
Growth of EVs

STEP 1: (2018 – 2021)

Car sharing will spread rapidly as automation of driving is more perfected. Large auto manufacturers will start purchasing automation companies and transforming themselves to fleet management companies. Right now, the main reasons for purchasing a personal vehicle include among other, less important things: looks, the way it drives, safety, personal affinity to a brand; As cars will become capable of driving autonomously, the way they feel when driving will become irrelevant. The way how well and fast cars respond to surrounding circumstances however, will matter a lot more. And this depends on the learning algorythms of the car and it’s capability to share information with other vehicles around it. At the fleet company, supercomputers will constantly communicate with cars, who will be monitoring their surroundings and analyzing every square millimeter of the road and sending the results back to the fleet company base.

That’s why the race for satellite internet is on the way. The fleet companies with the most efficient vehicle-to-base and vehicle-to-vehicle communication will accumulate the most of the market for personal and mass transit.

That is also why car manufacturers are already purchasing autonomus driving software and artificial intelligence development companies. In my opinion, we will witness the rise of companies with strong ties to software companies. Tesla on its own (perhaps also with Google, Tomtom and Bosch) by 2018. Chinese Baidu most probably with BYD by 2019. Daimler, Renault, Nissan and Mitsubishi with Samsung and Nokia’s precision mapping by 2020. Volvo and Geely with Uber by 2020, GM and Lyft also by 2020. Ford with Velodyne by 2021. Let’s not forget the giants like Google with Bosch and TomTom, and Microsoft and Apple, they will not stay still despite all the latest failures.

autonomus-world_f_highres_rgb

Inner cities will be off limits to vehicles with internal combustion engines (ICE) by 2020, until then, taxes on ICE’s will be raised to gradually lower their numbers, while increasing the sales of PHEVS and EV’s. While the battery industry is still underdeveloped to fully support it, EV’s will slowly take over.

THIS WILL LEAD TO THE CREATION OF SEVERAL NEW ENERGY-BASED INDUSTRIES, WHICH ARE NOW VERY SMALL: point-of-charge POC) network management companies, energy storage and energy management facilities, which will be based on EV battery recycling and re-use; Because the grid will be overloaded, either parallel renewables grids will be made or vehicle-to-grid networks will be setup, as first intended by Betterplace LLC. Energy quality management will become common-place for every industry to maintain something resembling a sinusodial and constant voltage without interruptions.

Due to more volatile weather, we will need an alternative to base-energy producing facilities like nuclear, coal and gas power plants, and the only way is revolutionizing the current ICE’s and finding a way to chemically clean natural gasses. Currently the best hope is turning natural gases from degrading waste into energy. Currently existing ICE’s are not capable of buring pure natural gases, they need highly flammable additives + they need to be consumed to avoid build-up on the ground, which would cause massive explosions.

 

IT WILL ALSO LEAD TO RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF MORE EFFICIENT AND NATURE-FRIENDLY BATTERIES. By 2020 batteries will become part of new residential buildings. Batteries will most likely be graphene-based and will reach a price of under $50 for 1kWh at 1,25kg of weight. (Currently at 0,4 kWh/ kg)

batteries

Turn fame to progress

I want to make famous people turn their stardom into progress motivation. People are willing to do, give and change things in return to hang out with people they adore.

I will make a project that connects famous people and organizations with people who either have money, services or materials that can be used to make this world a better place. I will try and motivate people to donate a certain amount of money for a project reward until enough money, materials or services are attained through which a project can be completed.

In my country taxes are a problem, so this all needs to be on a non-profit donation level if possible.

Example – goal: purchase certain medical equipment for the children’s pediatric hospital. Rewards: drinks with famous person A, lunch/dinner with famous person B, attend event of famous person C, get personal artifact of famous person D, all in return for different amount of money.

It’s jan 14th today, by Feb 14th I want to have a list of Slovene celebrities and the tasks they could perform.

No more political parties

The political system is unfortunately too similar to the existing educational system: it doesn’t allow individualism, it promotes mass-thinking based on a certain group of people. The school system is age-based on an industrial way of teaching all children in the same way.

The sheer notion that there are large groups of politicians who share the same opinion about hundreds, sometimes thousands of different topics they need to vote about is insane. In smaller countries especially, these parties often struggle to find people to fill the positions they’ve ‘taken over’ depending on the coalition agreement among winning parties at the last election.

Every politician should fulfil basic requirements: knowledge, experience, expertise, ability to communicate, and every politician should represent themselves, not as a member of a party. People should elect able-minded representatives to any public highly responsible position, these positions should not be handed down the party-loyalty chain.

No experience and top-level knowledge = no highly responsible position

People with highest responsibilities in any political level need to understand what they are doing from a practical point of view. They need to have real-life experience in the field which they want to be in charge of. And they have to be good at what they did.

This will eradicate the gaps between strategy and law makers and citizens and drastically lower the amount of stupid decisions disconnected with real-life.

Someone who has been a loyal member of a certain political party since they were a student, and they have the right level of education, but they only did a year of work prior to being elected to a highly responsible political position, should not be able to assume a position which can impact a country.

 

You can’t change systems without changing people

Systems are run and controlled by people. If systems do need change, that means people who run them need to understand the change, therefore they need to change their beliefs, goals, motivation etc. with regards to the changes in the system they are a part of.

And the biggest war of all wars is the war within a person.

The world wars were all wars of beliefs of people. Had a war of beliefs been started inside Hitler’s head, Mein Kampf would not have been written and the real WWII might not have happened the way it did.

To start any change at all, no matter how small, is a revolution. People are not mature enough to accept the need to change their lifestyles in order to allow further positive evolution of nature and mankind. We see privileges as rights, our rights as possessions of countries and countries as achievements. Consequently, to be born in an economically stable country, having the chance to pay taxes, gives that country and its citizens the right to value their lives over the values of lives of people who were born in economically crippled countries. Would you compromise on your comfort or on comfort of someone close to you in order to do something for nature or mankind? Statistics say you wouldn’t.

That is why giving people true knowledge of what the real situations are around the globe, are essential. Because they need to understand. And that is why misleading or false information spreading should be a crime. So the real question behind each problem that demands a change should be: how can I make the people who are involved understand? 

Problem ranking

There is no problem ranking, all we know is what is most reported on – we are addicted to existing information overload and mainstream media. And we can not have any common, global sense of our priorities according to highest ranked problems.

In my personal opinion everything should be based on our support and functioning systems – nature.

  1. our way of life is not sustainable – We need to start being sustainable and stop using more than we can. We need to learn how to cooperate in order to solve that problem.
  2. ineffective education system – people need to be able to understand their surroundings, them selves and need to know how to recognize and solve problems in the most optimal way.
  3. cooperation – we need to start working together, we are not capable of doing that right now. Working together does not mean just international cooperation but ‘inter-income’ level cooperation.
  4. procrastination and ineffective use of resources – we spend more on wars then we do on helping our selves by eradicating poverty, hunger and ignorance.

The real educational system

The education system overall is faulty because it does not provide the knowledge we need and it does not provide knowledge in the right fashion.

An ideal system would be able to give to the human race the knowledge that we need to be able to live and flourish sustainably. For that we would need to understand ourselves and our surroundings, which many people with PhD’s do not.

The second important fact has been mentioned many times by scholars like sir Ken Robinson, we are not all the same! We are not all gifted for the same things, different things need to be taught in different ways and last but not least we should all be taught two things: problem solving, communication and cooperation.

Young children should be taught about the environment, what it can do, what we can do with it sustainably, and which things should never be done. They need to be taught how to listen and learn about themselves, their own bodies and families and friends. The fact that even adults do not know what the right kind of food needs to be eaten in order to stay healthy and that projects by Jamie Oliver – trying to force schools into serving actual food even exist, speaks volume about where we are with even the basic stuff. We do not know how we function.

And we do not know how to communicate properly. Listen to an average college graduate, can they express themselves properly without umm, aaahh, like, you know…? It seems stupid, but if we added all those to see how much time we’ve spent and how many miss-information has been spread, how badly we communicate our own feelings and experiences and ideas… Mind-blowingly bad situation with communication. When geniuses can’t pass their knowledge on, when wars are started because compromise can not be negotiated… Stupidity due to lack of communication skills has a lot to do with it.

And then there is the problem solving part. How many people understand how the world they live in even works? How can they be productive members of society and good progress if they don’t? How can someone vote for or against building a nuclear power plant or a wind power plant or abortion or…? What about when things go wrong? Are we taught to identify the problem correctly, summarize and assess it, look for best possible solutions and compare them to choose the one that is absolutely the best?

The education system should be compulsory but completely modular and adaptable to the needs of people and the environment. It should gradually introduce children to themselves, so that they would understand their bodies, how the world in general works, how to communicate on a basic level, learn from past mistakes of others and work together in solving problems. Classes should always be as practical as possible, making the learning experience a process in which the people who are learning participate actively, and through which the human brain forms as many different associations as possible for the subject being taught. Trying stuff in different ways, solving problems. Preferably in groups. Age should not matter, money should not matter. And the learning process must not end at one point, it should be a part of every job.

 

Public banks raise spending by raising minimum salaries

We have learned that spending is more important than saving money when countries are poor – it is the productivity that needs to increase, you can not take the last piece of bread from a hungry man, you need to help him become able to get more bread. Public banks risk public money but don’t lend enough of it and when the shit hits the fan it is again public money that bails them out. However, when business is good, public does not get any dividends.

Public banks should raise the minimum wage in countries by directly transferring a certain amount of money to those with jobs and minimal income. They should raise the minimum income directly. The cost/benefit would be great because if we wanted to have the government do that somehow, any country, this is guaranteed, would have spend at least twice more because they would have to finance their people to do it. And their people either don’t have the time or don’t know how to do it. That’s why the banks should.

This would help boost SME’s and private expenditures much faster and much more efficiently than any loans, grants ect..

True valuation, one currency

We need a realistic valuation that is based on irrefutable laws of nature.

The value of anything material should be defined so that it can be broken down into most basic elements defined by energy and natural resources input in producing it. A pound of meat is 1/2000 of a cow that ate X kg of smth, drank Y gallons of water, and whose owner put XY amount of energy into ‘making’ the cow into what she is now. A 1/2000 piece of meat and bones.

We also need one currency to disperse factors of valuation and minimize strategic valuation creation of currencies.

In addition, financial valuation of any material thing should be divided into three parts which should be known to all parties involved: the conditions to produce, the production process, preparation and transport. I believe this would indeed spur development into the direction of local production. One does need to keep in mind though, that no country should depend solely on themselves for any life-critical item or service. If a natural disaster or war hits one country, and this country is not huge, chances are they would be helpless.

Jane Elliot experiment should be compulsory

Include the Jane Elliot experiment into the educational system to teach people not to discriminate based on the physiological differences people can not influence.

The experiment should be introduced on all levels needed in the beginning to cover all ages:  elementary schools, high-schools, colleges and companies. As the number of people that understand it grows it could gradually be toned-down to elementary schools and high-schools only.

You can find the link to the article source here.